Early modelling shows solid chance of significant swell to hit Queensland surf breaks between Christmas and the new year.

It’s the season to get festive but traditionally the New Year’s Eve and Christmas period means the changing of the surf season for Queensland surfers.

Some ocean modelling sites are starting to show a solid chance that a strong tropical low or even a possible cyclone may develop in the Coral Sea after Christmas, and track south towards the South East Queensland coastline, generating some long-overdue storm swell for those in wait.

Whilst there is some variance in forecasts, all modelling shows either a solid low-pressure influence or weak tropical cyclone impacting the Coral Sea during the window, sending swell to arrive at South East Queensland by late Tuesday December 27th. The proximity of the system does however leave some room for improvement, with wave period not expected to exceed about 10 or 11 seconds for this swell.

Prevailing winds will mean the most protected breaks such as Kirra, Noosa and Greenmount will be the best options.

Dust off the shooters, get a good night’s sleep and get some fresh wax as we ring in the new year with some surf!

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